Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 13.093967 15.251025 17.596446 20.328938 23.417408 26.792381 30.751638
2025-10-26 9.313077 12.228251 15.722420 20.183565 25.688669 32.217989 40.502207
2025-11-02 7.034344 10.183426 14.264432 19.860337 27.241697 36.543731 49.035004
2025-11-09 5.490940 8.656696 13.044535 19.433912 28.337959 40.122855 56.678470
2025-11-16 4.365018 7.441520 11.973157 18.933700 29.109787 43.157047 63.658586
2025-11-23 3.450805 6.343401 10.858067 18.147275 29.283892 45.254734 69.374063
2025-11-30 3.049671 5.973186 10.761322 18.814626 31.564462 50.413774 79.658912
2025-12-07 2.717284 5.651433 10.678775 19.459855 33.820902 55.643870 90.330825
2025-12-14 2.269354 5.036610 10.012698 19.058046 34.361530 58.286602 97.268218
2025-12-21 1.885452 4.465888 9.333490 18.533344 34.616136 60.451327 103.544678
2025-12-28 1.743735 4.349756 9.454541 19.399957 37.230101 66.472100 116.123818
2026-01-04 1.587970 4.174387 9.436082 20.000654 39.416410 71.909711 128.042940
2026-01-11 1.376470 3.855285 9.131752 20.110508 40.882589 76.473336 139.196374
2026-01-18 1.187233 3.551456 8.823406 20.196237 42.350132 81.206434 151.046199
2026-01-25 0.998066 3.201533 8.360354 19.913027 43.098660 84.741079 161.088928
2026-02-01 0.830991 2.864055 7.865319 19.492594 43.528103 87.715177 170.312723
2026-02-08 0.687337 2.549891 7.366847 18.992287 43.735914 90.275117 178.923717
2026-02-15 0.553485 2.222835 6.775962 18.203974 43.274924 91.549439 185.289580
2026-02-22 0.507826 2.157549 6.828016 18.873145 45.852408 98.638295 202.482757
2026-03-01 0.465768 2.092551 6.869805 19.520097 48.428701 105.863823 220.270200
2026-03-08 0.389850 1.885621 6.493130 19.117221 48.716092 108.681447 230.025097
2026-03-15 0.322050 1.683349 6.089561 18.591120 48.675684 110.834101 238.615599
2026-03-22 0.303716 1.669064 6.230249 19.460041 51.820513 119.504210 260.011873